Don't bet on it!

This storm has taken a 10-15 mile shift and now (as I said this morning), the predictions are majorly out the window.

This may end up being just a rain (primarily) mixed with sleet and freezing rain, ending with snow! Sort of just slush!

Remember this is just a possibility, but becoming more likely than everything else!

This is why winter storms are so hard to predict!!!

The following images show the storm progression from tonight at 7pm until 7pm Friday, as in precipitation types.

Here is the key to the numbers and letters on this:

S-: Light snow

S+: moderate to heavy snow

S: moderate snow

ZR: Freezing Rain

IP: Icy Precipitation

RH: Heavy Rain

R-: Light Rain

R: Moderate Rain

R+: Moderate to heavy rain

SH: Heavy Snow

Not sure what ZL and T stand for! :)

7pm, 10pm, 1am, 4am, 7am, 10am, 1pm, 4pm, 7pm (respectively from tonight until Friday night)

In the end, it appears this mornings forecast holds mostly true! We may have to bring the ice accumulations down a bit! Over the winter storm warning 1/4 to 3/4 inch with 2 inches of snow, and 1/4 inch in the southern advisory, but 1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice in southern Indiana advisory areas! This is why!

There's not as much precip as before but that area in Missouri may fill in because it's a direct route to the Gulf of Mexico. Notice the heavy snow over southern Illinois heading right for us! Stay tuned to the blog...

WInter Storm Alert

A lot of things to get to today. Warnings, advisories, and how much snow are we going to get anyway?


Here is the last time i will show the HPC chance of 4 inches of snow map! From now on, I'm taking it local!

Here are the warnings and advisories for the area!

The winter storm warning for Crawford, Dubois, Jackson, Jefferson, Jennings, Lawrence, Orange, Scott, and Washington counties in southern Indiana is in effect from 7pm Thursday until 1pm Friday!

This includes Jasper, Bedford, Paoli, Salem, Pekin, English, Hanover and North Vernon!

What to expect for the winter storm warning:

- In Lawrence, Jackson, and Jennings counties, expect 1/4 inch to 1/2 inch of ice with a topping of 2-4 inches of snow.

- For the rest of the Winter Storm Warning area, expect 1/2 to 1 inch of ice accumulation, with a possible of up to 1 1/2 inch ice accumulation, topped off with 1-3 inches of snow.

Winter Weather Advisory for Clark, Floyd, Harrison and Perry counties, in Southern Indiana, from 7pm Thursday until 1 pm Friday.

What to expect in the southern Indiana winter weather advisory:

- 1/2 inch to 3/4 inch of ice accumulation, with possibly a 1 inch ice accumulation in the northern parts of these counties, topped off by 1-2 inches of snow, possibly 3 inches in the northern parts of these counties.

Winter Weather Advisory for Breckenridge, Jefferson, Meade, Oldham, and Trimble counties from 7pm Thursday until 1pm Friday.

What to expect:

1/4-1/2 inch of ice, with 1 inch of snow topping it off!

If the track moves just 10 miles, all that I just said will be knocked off track, so definitely stay tuned!

Mixing it up!

Before I go any further, there is at least a 10% chance for 4 inches of snow over southern Indiana. THe precipitation will be mixed, but how much and what type is still a question.

Start time for this storm will be about 3pm Thursday through noon Friday. Keep an eye out for this as well.

Here are the 8 and 12 inch snow probabilities as well (respectively).

The 8 inch line is still stalking us just to the north! Keep an eye out for this! I will have my opinion/prediction tomorrow by 7am!

Meanwhile, here have been some confirmation of tornadoes in our area. Here are some pics of the damage!

East Louisville, KY (building collapse)

5 miles south of Salem, Indiana (farm damage)

3 miles SSW of Salem, Indiana (a "felled" tree)

Here is the link to the tornado report to the Saint Matthews tornado:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/crnews/display_story.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=12602&source=0

There were two tornadoes in Clark county, and the other in Washington county, both in Indiana. Here is the link!

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/crnews/display_story.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=12597&source=0

Keep your eye out for this snowstorm!

Tornadoes and snow storms

Here are the storm reports for the day. Blues are wind, greens are hail, reds are tornadoes.

We have an interesting storm system on tap for Thursday night and Friday. Here is the probability of 4 inches of snow.


We have at least a 40% chance of 4 inches of snow, according to the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. (now let that name sink in for a second!)

Now, at least a 10% chance of 8 inches of snow. The line comes dangerously close to our area!






How about the chance of 12 inches!

Not here, but maybe to our northwest!

This could be excited!

Storms Ending

If you are west of I-65, the storm is over for you. Send your storm reports to hookedonweather@aol.com, and if severe enough I will relay them to the National Weather service for records!

louisville is currently getting smashed. I'll get storm reports in as they come in. Winds are now picking up and turning colder behind the line. It is 60 in Louisville and 34 in Jasper!

8:10 pm

Winter storm coming up soon? I'll answer that after the storms have passed!

Salem

Tornado Warning for Salem and Pekin right now until 8pm. get in your basements now!

Severe Thunderstorm warning until 8pm in blue shaded areas!

Windows blown out of buildings in Bedford!

Tornado Warning for Paoli until 7:45pm.
Tornado warning for Indianapolis until 7:45pm.

There is a possible tornado approching Indianapolis. Also, 75 mph winds reported 5 miles SW of evansville!

Warnings

Here is the warnings map as of 6:45pm. Storms approaching Paoli, English at 7:10pm.

Salem, Corydon around 7:35pm.

Scottsburg, Borden, New Albany around 8pm.

Louisville, clarksville, around 8:20 pm!

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 9pm

The entire area is under a severe thunderstorm watch until 9pm. Winds to 80 mph are possible, according to the Storm Prediction Center!

Blogging Again!

Hey, guys, there is a tornado watch in effect for just west of us in Illinois, and heading our way! We are under a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms this evening!

There is a great chance for winds over 60 mph (45 % chance)

There is even a chance of tornadoes (5%).

Even though that seems low, it's actually high for the month of January!

In rotating storms, hail is also possible!

Keep checking by blog or WLKY (or any other station) for more details!

I will be updating this all night!

A Little Snow

1-2 inches of snow fell on Tuesday morning. I didn't think it would be that big of a deal, but obviously it was. Most schools were closed! Don't know why!

The Storm Moves East

the storm that moved through atlanta, dumping 1-2 inches has moved east! This

is wreaking havoc for voters at the SC primary today!

The storm continues to ride towards the east coast!

Now here are the current temperatures! Those are not wind chills!

Now here are the wind chills!

We are clearly headed towards the coldest night we've had in a long time! Temperatures near zero to 5 in Louisville, coupled with winds, will bring wind chills of 0 to -12!

A quick warning: Churches around the area are considering cancelling Sunday services! Keep an eye on that!

Atlanta Pic: 1:50 P.M.

One More Thing

To check out an interactive weather map for Atlanta:

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/vacationplanner/map/interactive/USGA0028?from=36hr_topnav_vacation

A Southern Storm

Check this out!

A snowstorm in the south!

As you can see by the graphic above that 3-6 inches are possible through a part of

the south!!! A snowstorm, imagine that!

Atlanta Cam

Birmingham Cam

What do snow, my brother, January 17th, Bearno's, Hard Rock Cafe, Lucky Strike, and a birthday have in common?

To answer that question, my day yesterday!

The pictures above show what we did and what we went, but are not actual pictures from yesterday. That is why their not as big.

In the weather department, flurries tonight, breezy through sunday, with temps not getting above 25 this weekend. Sunday morning it will be 5 with a windchill of -10. Near Bedford wind chills could be as cold as -20. For that reason a wind chill advisory is in effect.

Still looks like my prediction of the "big snow" is holding UP, but we'll have to see what happens. It may actually warm up for the last week of January into the 50s. Bad for my prediction! That's still a long way out there!

Snow Fall Surprise

Personally, I was a bit surprised about the amount to snow that fell early this morning! It looks like 1 inch at my house, but it is slowly melting away.

Again much to my surprise, schools have been delayed this morning. So, I'll be doing school this morning anyway! :)

Here are the school closings:

BETHEL CHRISTIAN ACADEMY: 1 HOUR DELAY
BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY SCHOOLS: 1 HOUR DELAY
BROWNSTOWN CENTRAL COMM SCHOOL CORP: 2 HOUR DELAY; NO AM KINDERGARTEN OR VOCATIONAL SCHOOL
BULLITT COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOLS [WEB]: CLOSED
CHRISTIAN ACADEMY OF INDIANA: 2 HOUR DELAY
COMMUNITY MONTESSORI CHARTER SCHOOL (IN): 1 HOUR DELAY & EARLY ED 30 MINUTE DELAY
CRAWFORD COUNTY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
EAST WASHINGTON SCHOOL CORP.: 2 HOUR DELAY
FLOYD COUNTY HEAD START: CLOSED
GRAYSON COUNTY SCHOOLS: 1 HOUR DELAY
HARDIN COUNTY SCHOOLS [WEB]: 1 HOUR DELAY
HARRISON COUNTY ALTERNATIVE SCHOOL: 2 HOUR DELAY
HART COUNTY SCHOOLS: 1 HOUR DELAY
JENNINGS COUNTY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
LANESVILLE COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
LARUE COUNTY SCHOOLS: 1 HOUR DELAY
MEADE COUNTY SCHOOLS: MEADE CO SCHOOLS 2 HR DELAY AND MEADE CO AM PRESCHOOL CANCELLED
MEDORA COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
MITCHELL COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
N. BULLITT CHRISTIAN PRESCHOOL: CLOSED
NEW ALBANY/FLOYD CO. SCHOOLS [WEB]: 2 HOUR DELAY
NOAH'S ARK DAYCARE: 2 HR DELAY AND NOT DOING TRANSPORTATION THIS MORNING
NORTH LAWRENCE COMM. SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
PAOLI COMMUNITY SCHOOLS [WEB]: 1 HOUR DELAY
PERRY CENTRAL SCHOOLS: CLOSED; SCHOOL WILL BE IN SESSION MONDAY, JAN. 21.
PROVIDENCE JR/SR HIGH SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
ROLLING HILLS CHRISTIAN SCHOOL: CLOSED
SALEM COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
SOUTH HARRISON SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
SOUTH RIPLEY COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
SOUTHERN HILLS PRESCHOOL (IN) [WEB]: NO AM SERVICES
SPRINGS VALLEY COMMUNITY SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY
ST. JOSEPH SCHOOL: 2 HOUR DELAY
WASHINGTON CO. (KY) SCHOOLS: 1 HOUR DELAY
WEST WASHINGTON (IN) SCHOOLS: 2 HOUR DELAY

Full update later or Friday and Monday snows, plus my "big snowstorm prediction" might be all for naught. Also, how cold will it be this weekend?

Snow Ball or Snow Bawl?

Hey the snow is actually rolling in here tonight it looks like. Well, at least it looks pretty!

Not much in the way of accumulation as you can see, but maybe an inch! Maybe enough to delay schools by 1 or maybe 2 hours! We'll see how it goes! Precip is not reaching the ground right now!

The Snow Falls When?

Well, a lot of people seem to be focusing on this week's storm. It's a shame, but they shouldn't be! I initially thought that this could be 2 inches, but these storms

are perfectly splitting us and we're in the middle!

Now, these pictures seem to depict rain! Now some of it will be rain, some snow, some ice!

The big deal is that nothing will come of this system! Less than one inch that melts quickly Thursday!

Now, Thursday night-Friday night we may have a dusting to 1/2 inch!

However, these Canadian temperatures are heading towards the area in the wak of an obvious Canadian cold front (as shown on this front)!

However, this cold front, a very strong one at that, will push through. We will have a low of 13 on Saturday morning, with the high of only 18. Saturday morning winds will be up to 35 mph, with wind chills of 10 to 15, below zero! That's -10 to -15 degrees feel like temperature!

Stay tuned on that! We may have a variation of advisories, as well as a snow possibility on Monday!

Snow

There are snow chances in our near future!

Thursday, Friday, and Monday are our big chances!

Well, Thursday, we have a chance of big snow! Two storms may come together and give us 2-8 inches. Something definitely to keep an eye on.

Friday, we may have another inch.

Monday, 1-3 inches are possible.

Something to keep an eye on. Definitely more tomorrow night!

The Day That Was Yesterday

Yesterday was quite a day in severe weather for January, here are the final storm reports!



21 tornado reports are pretty amazing! 74 wind reports and 46 hail reports. There was also 1 destructive wind report and 3 destructive hail reports!



There is an amazing damage video that i found on this link:
http://www.accuweather.com/news-blogs.asp?partner=adcalerts&blog=community

Complimants of:



And if you want to lighten up your day, check out this link:
This is a video on YouTube of Hannah Montana using a double around the 2:30 mark on the video. Watch closely, it's great to make fun of a "legend".
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Ni2hTOU7Gw



Back to the weather department, I'm still holding on the the thought that we will have a snow in late January or the first week of February!

Accuweather affirmates my thoughts as of now!
They have chances of snow on the 17th, 18th, 20th, 22nd, 24th, and 25th. Watch out!

Also, we may have snow on sunday! Maybe an inch at most is possible!
I'll keep a track on it!

Warnings Maps: 3:45P.M.

tornado warnings

there is a tornado outbreak ongoing to our south. There are tornado warnings over Bardstown, Greensburg, and south of E-town, KY right now.(3:36 pm)

Tornado Watches

Radar

Storm Reports (Tornado=red, blue=wind, green=hail, square=destructive winds, triangle=destructive hail)