Sunday, May 31st, 2009: 9:40pm

The worst of yesterday's forecasted severe storms ended up in Indianapolis, where damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes were reported.

The next couple days will be VERY WARM! The next system will bring a storm chance on Wednesday, before we clear out again. After a dry period, another system may arrive by next Sunday...

Alex C.

STORM ALERT: 5/30/09: 5:15PM

Severe thunderstorm watch until 12am midnight EDT...

From the SPC: inside the watch area there is a 20% chance of tornadoes, 50% chance of winds >58mph, 50% chance of hail >1" in diameter, and a 30% chance of winds >70mph...

Storms will probably be in the western part of the area after 7pm...and in Louisville after 8:30pm...stay tuned...

Alex C.

STORM ALERT: 5/30/09: 3:30PM

Still awaiting storms to develop...there are some indications that storms could be developing now around St. Louis and central Illinois. These storms should continue to develop this afternoon, and the severe threat still exists. Damaging winds will be the primary threat, with isolated tornadoes and large hail secondary threats...

I will be out for the evening but will try to post updates when the chances arise...

Alex C.

STORM ALERT: 5/30/09: 1pm

No changes from SPC forecast...see previous post for more on that...

Storms look to be a little later than expected, with expected time frame on I-65 being after 4pm...Damaging winds, large hail, and a few brief tornadoes are still possible...stay tuned...

Alex C.

STORM ALERT: 5/30/09: 10am

5% chance of tornadoes around the area this afternoon...

15% chance of damaging winds >58mph, and large hail >1" in diameter...


Storms have begun to develop across Illinois and Missouri, and is moving east and southeast. Eventually, these storms will run into our area and strengthen. From the SPC: STORMS COULD BECOME ORGANIZED INTO SMALL...FORWARD- PROPAGATING MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS/BANDS...PERHAPS WITH SPORADIC/EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE TRUE NEAR THE OH RVR IN SRN IND/NRN-CNTRL KY...WHERE LOW TO MID LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD BE GREATEST. STORMS COULD YIELD SVR HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO.

Definitely something to keep an eye on for this afternoon. I think that the storms will probably bring a couple tornado warnings to our area this afternoon, especially over southern Indiana, before the system turns into a linear based line bringing damaging winds to the eastern part of the area...

Alex C.

Friday, May 29th, 2009: 9:15pm

Immediate weather headline is the severe weather possible on Saturday...


With this storm system, we will see a rush of warm air tomorrow afternoon followed by a cold front. We will have great midlevel winds, but maybe not as great of instability. However, the available energy will spark storms. Some of these storms could produce large hail, damaging winds. A few isolated tornadoes are possible as well, depending on how the storms set up. I will be posting throughout the day tomorrow on this situation...The SPC currently has us in a 15% chance of severe weather, but say that threat could change based on the timing...

After this storm, we will have a warm early week with highs in the upper 80s before the next storm system comes in midweek...

Alex C.

Thursday, May 28th, 2009: 7:30pm

Less humid weather will arrive for tomorrow, but it won't last too long. Humidity will return Saturday, and there will be a chance for storms Saturday night.

Sunday and Monday will be warm, with Monday being more humid before our next rain chance midweek...

Alex C.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009: 9:15pm

Storms out to the west to affect the region tonight...

Some strong storms near Evansville will be heading into our area after midnight. These storms could contain lightning, heavy rain, and some gusty winds. Severe weather is NOT expected.

Saturday night and Sunday night could be interesting in the weather department...
We have a slight risk of severe on Saturday and Sunday for the northern and western parts of the area (see map). This indicates a 30% chance of severe weather. Both of these instances of possible severe weather would be in the evening or nighttime hours, and the main threats would be damaging winds. Something to keep an eye on...

Meanwhile, the humid summer pattern will continue for much of the next week, with the exception of Friday and Tuesday...

Alex C.

Tuesday, May 26th, 2009: 9pm

Hope everyone had a great Memorial Day weekend...

Storms are over for this evening...storm chances will be most widespread tomorrow, and the system will move away on Thursday. The storms tomorrow will be slowmoving like the past few days, with the storm rolling in, staying, and when it leaves, the sun will return. It's your standard summer weather pattern...

After this, things will clear out for a great weekend, before warming into the mid-upper 80s for early next week...

Alex C.

Friday, May 22, 2009: 8:30pm

Storm chances for the long holiday weekend...

Tomorrow's rain chances will be isolated, but Sunday's will probably end up being more scattered than isolated. I'll have to bring that rain chance up by tomorrow night I would suppose if model trends stay the same.

Memorial Day and Tuesday will see the most widespread storms. After this long-winded system, we will be drying out by the end of next week...

Alex C.

Thursday, May 21, 2009: 7:45pm

Isolated storm chances come tomorrow...which will have the lowest chance of the next 7 days. We are entering into a very summerlike pattern, with isolated storms evey afternoon. No need to cancel your plans because of any of these isolated storms, but be aware of the storms that could be near your area...

Alex C.

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009: 9:30pm

Nice warm weather will continue through Friday. After that, it will remain warm, but there will be isolated storms will a tropical low coming out of Florida...

Alex C.

Monday, May 18th, 2009: 9:30pm

A cold night tonight will lead to a very nice day tomorrow. Temps will moderate into the 80s for the mid-late part of the week. We could see some isolated storms pop up over the weekend as some tropical moisture coming out of Florida affects the region...

Alex C.

Friday, May 15th, 2009: 4pm

After a few days of having a rebellious computer, I am back! Though I had these computer problems, my 7-day forecast from Monday has held up fairly well, with the exception of today, which was very warm. The final 3 days of the 7-day from Monday still apply for this weekend and Monday. Only correction would be a slightly higher rain chance tomorrow (70%). Tomorrow mornings low will be in the mid 60s and highs in the low to mid 70s.

We will see some isolated storms tonight and some rain and storms tomorrow. We could see some heavy rain with these. The weather will be colder Sunday with highs in the 60s, but we will be sunny and moderate through the 70s and evening into the 80s towards the end of next week.

I will be back with 7-day forecasts on Monday...

Alex C.

Monday, May 11th, 2009: 8:30pm

Here is the 7-day forecast...

Of main interest are potential storms that could be coming late Wednesday night and Thursday morning. I think that these storms will be at a weakened state, so only have rain chance in for now. However, if these storms do come earlier, they could be severe, so the SPC has a slight risk of severe for our area.

And yes, you do see that we will have yet another extended period of rain on the way for the middle and latter parts of this week...

Alex C.

4/8/09: 4:30pm

Storms to the west may be weakening a bit...the atmosphere is not as unstable...stay tuned...

Alex C.

5/8/09: 4:15pm

Look closely at the circled area. We have a very rare case here for severe weather. That wrap around low pressure area just produced 100mph winds 1 hour ago in Illinois, and may be producing winds >80mph in Evansville right now. If this holds together, we could have some terrible storms for areas along and around I-64.

New SPC numbers say 30% chance of destructive winds over >70mph along and south of I-64. I think the SPC may be taking too far south of a track with this storm. I think southern Indiana has a reasonable chance for this activity as well...stay tuned...

Alex C.

5/8/09: 2pm

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 8pm for all areas of southern Indiana and central Kentucky except for Seymour, IN, North Vernon, etc. Hail to 2" in diameter and damaging winds to 80mph are possible in the watch. Storms right now are not as bad as previously, but they are still packing a punch. The main line is strong and not severe, but it has the potential to be severe. Storms out ahead of the line are becoming severe, and these are the most interesting at this moment. They could begin to rotate and produce isolated tornadoes. For now, there is a threat of damaging winds and large hail. Severe T'storm warning for Breckenridge, Meade, KY, and Perry Co., IN...stay tuned...

Alex C.

5/8/09: 1pm

Here are the storms that are moving our way...

This tornado watch (WEST of us) has a chance of tornadoes...hail to 2.5" in diameter, and winds to 105 mph (from the SPC).

SPC's new numbers have along and south of I-64 in a 5% chance of torandoes, and a 30% chance of damaging winds and hail. Expect tornado watch for us in the next few hours...

We may have those isolated tornadoes because of the northern extent of this line (note the arrow moving northeast). Winds have been over 100mph in Missouri with this storm. Don't think it will be that bad here, but isolated tornado threat definitely exists along with winds and hail.

Alex C.

STORM ALERT: 5/8/09: 9:45am

Derecho ongoing this morning across Missouri...

This line of storms is producing 80mph winds and higher in southern Missouri right now. These storms are moving east, and occasionally more northeast across the state. These storms will move into Kentucky this afternoon, and possible into southern Indiana as well. The SPC has a slight risk of severe weather for us, that being a 15% chance of damaging winds and large hail and a 2% chance of a tornado, with higher %'s west of us. I think that we should have higher %'s in the region right now, with sun coming out and dewpoints in the lower 60s. This heating will inhibit storms this afternoon. The only question will be how far north these storms come. I do not see them making it north of Paoli or Salem. Stay tuned...

Alex C.

Friday, May 8th, 2009: 9:40am

Updated 7-day forecast...storm alert begins in the next few minutes...

Alex C.

Thursday, May 7th, 2009: 9:45pm

Storm chance the next 36 hours...with rain diminishing on Saturday. Any storms could be strong because of the unstable atmosphere...

Alex C.

Wednesday, May 6th, 2009: 9:30pm

Slight risk of severe storms tomorrow...isolated severe wind gusts possible...rain will continue into Friday and Saturday as well. Some minor flooding is possible. Besides this, Sunday-Wednesday will be nice and with a warming trend...

Alex C.

Cinco de Mayo 2009: 10pm

No, I'm not really into Mexican festivities, but Cinco de Mayo is just fun to say!

Forecast is just slightly changed...I think the best storm chance will be Friday. Click on image for larger view...

Vortex2 is a new tornado research project going on this spring and next spring...for more info, go to www.vortex2.com .

Alex C.

Monday, May 4th, 2009: 10pm

A nice day tomorrow before rain returns...

Wednesday technically has a slight risk of severe, but don't think much of it besides it is another day of rain. The rain Thursday will be mainly early, and rain may return again by Friday night. Any rain Sunday will be early in the morning...

Alex C.

Oaks Day 2009: 4pm

2-3 inches of rain possible the next 3 days...chance of rain around Derby post time...

Alex C.