Saturday, September 6, 2008

Saturday, September 6, 2008: 5:30pm

I will keep our forecast the same as I had for yesterday: dry through Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.

There is a slight chance of rain next Thursday-Friday with the uncertainty of Hurricane Ike. Temps should remain steady and Saturday should clear out from any rain we may have. Temps will remain in the low 80s during this period.

Hurricane Ike is now a Category 4 with winds of 135mph. It is expected to hit Cuba as a Category 4 with winds of 145mph. Then it will head into the Gulf with Category 3 strength.



Again, I must tell you that the NHC is WRONG with the track of Ike, because 9 times out of 10, it will go over water instead of straight across Cuba. So, I think it will hit Cuba and go out the south and through the Yucatan Channel.

Alex C.

Saturday, September 6, 2008: 11:30am

Here is Ike's track...Ike currently has 110mph winds. It is predicted to hit Cuba as a category 3 and then head into the Gulf as a category 3.


Alex C.

Friday, September 5, 2008

Friday, September 5, 2008: 8pm

Beneficial rains are here...

It was nice to have wet grass today, and it has turned a little greener already. Some drizzle will persist through the evening. Meanwhile, it did not even get to 72 degrees at my house today!!!

Saturday-Wednesday look to be dry. Some forecasts have a rain chance for Monday night and Tuesday, but it is bad timing so I won't put the chance in for now. Highs Saturday-Monday will be in the mid 80s, with highs Tuesday-Wednesday in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Humidities will be quite comfortable as well throughout the period. The day with the most humidity will be Monday, but even that will not be too bad.

There are many questions about our forecast, including the path of Ike, after Wednesday...so for now will put a chance of isolated showers/storms in the forecast with highs in the lower 80s.

The Tropical update includes the impending landfall of Tropical Storm Hanna. It will hit as a borderline tropical storm/hurricane with winds of 70-75mph on the South Carolina/North Carolina coastline. This landfall will be overnight tonight. I don't have a track map because it will be moving so fast. It will impact the entire east coast over the next 48 hours, before cruising off the coast and heading towards Britain as a tropical storm on Wednesday. The winds could reach 50mph as it approaches Britain.

However, Hurricane Ike will be the big story from now on.



Ike has 115 mph at this time, making it a Category 3. The NHC says do not pay attention to the end of the track because they don't have much of a clue of what it will do after 72 hours. The storm is predicted to have Category 4 winds of 135mph as it possibly approaches Florida...

Alex C.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Thursday, September 4, 2008: 7pm

Tropical Storm Hanna has 65mph winds. It is expected to hit the Carolinas as a tropical storm...



Hurricane Ike is a category 4 with 135mph. It is expected to possibly hit Florida as a category 3 with 125mph (NHC).



Rain is on the way...

The rain is here!!! It will continue off and on through tomorrow. We could have up to a half an inch in some places...it will be very welcome rain. Winds could gust to 45mph, but no storms are expected.

Saturday-Thursday will be some great days in our weather. I will keep any rain chance out for now, with nice temps from 80-85. There could be rain on Tuesday, but I will keep it out of the forecast for now...

Alex C.

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Wednesday, September 3, 2008: 7:35pm

Today, I will talk about our weather first...

Today was the true example of a 20% chance of rain...it rained in Louisville, Sellersburg, New Albany, 1 mile from my house, but not at my house!!!

Tomorrow will have just a slightly better chance of rain. I will put in a 30% chance for tomorrow. Temps will be held down in the upper 80s but with quite uncomfortable humidities.

Tomorrow night is when things really get interesting...



The SPC has a 15% chance of severe to our west on Thursday night, with a 5% chance for us. This is primarily due to the risk of isolated tornadoes from the remnants of Gustav. We will see how this plays out, but it will not be a major event...

Thursday night through Friday will have a 50% chance of rain which would be well received in this area. Temps will be in the lower 80s because of the rain.

Saturday-Wednesday look dry as of now, and temperatures will be comfortable. It will be dry, but temps will be in the lower 80s with low humidities.

Here is the track of Tropical Storm Hanna...it currently has 60mph winds and is forecast to become a category 1 hurricane with 80mph winds before hitting North Carolina early Saturday morning and then scooting up the east coast...



You will be definitely hearing more about Hurricane Ike in the days to come...here is the track of Ike...



Ike currently has 80mph winds, and is forecast by the NHC to have 115mph winds, (Category 3) as it approaches Florida early next week...stay tuned...

Alex C.

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Tuesday, September 2, 2008: 7:30pm

Quickly, here are the tracks of T.S. Hanna and Ike (both with 65mph winds).



T.S. Hanna is expected to hit South Carolina with 90mph winds (category 1 hurricane) on Friday.



On the other hand, T.S. Ike is forecast to head towards Cuba on Sunday with 110mph winds. Where it goes from there is definitely anyone's guess.

There is also T.S. Josephine, but it is far from any major land areas at this time.

Gustav caused some overflow into New Orleans, but major flooding was not a problem. For more on all of these storms, use the link to the NHC, and for Gustav use the link to the HPC and SPC. All of these are on the side of the blog...

Our weather is not nearly as exciting, as the next 2 days will be hot and dry. Temps will be in the lower 90s with bearable humidity.

Friday and Saturday seem to be our only chance of rain from Gustav. Some isolated showers/storms may make it to our area, but it appears the best rains will stay to the west. Temps will remain in the upper 80s through this period.

Sunday-Tuesday look to be dry at this time, with cooler but still dry temperatures in the middle 80s.

Alex C.

Monday, September 1, 2008

Monday, September 1, 2008: 4pm


Gustav hits land...

Hurricane Gustav hit land 55 miles SW of New Orleans this morning with winds of 110mph, a category 2. There is some damage but NO homes have been flooded in New Orleans in NO levees have been breached. However, the heavy rain, winds, and possibility of tornadoes continues. Current winds are at 90mph, a category 1.

Here is the 5 day track of Gustav...


As you can see, it will be affecting the same areas for many days to come. However, we could get some of the moisture into our area later on in the week (local weather discussion below).

Meanwhile, fresh off the press, Tropical Storm Hanna has graduated to Hurricane Hanna with 75 mph winds, a Category 1.


Forecasts keep it as a category one with winds up to 90mph until landfall on Friday in the FL/GA/SC area. As you can see, some of that moisture could make it into our area as well.

The tropics are definitely active right now with Gustav and Hanna, but how about Tropical Depression #9. Yes, another storm has developed in the Atlantic! Three storms are active right now...here is it's track...



This storm is expected to become a hurricane and move towards the Bahamas next weekend. Winds by Saturday are anticipated to be at 80-90mph. Of course, a lot can change with this as this becomes better organized and moves closer to the US. This storm does look poised to make a US landfall late this weekend into early next week.

When this storm does become a tropical storm, it will be Tropical Storm Ike.

I feel that you can definitely gain something by looking at the Atlantic as a whole...


That storm coming off the coast of Africa is also expected to turn into a tropical depression later today...

I will definitely keep an eye on all of this, but now I will talk about our weather...
  • Until Thursday, we will stay dry and hot with highs in the lower 90s with humidities slowly creeping up throughout the week...
  • Friday-Monday will offer us isolated chances of rain and storms depending on the inland tracks of Gustav and Hanna. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s, but increased humidities will make it feel the same as the rest of the days this week.
  • Stay tuned for more on all of this on the blog...
Alex C.