Tornado Reports from October 18, 2007

Confirmed Tornadoes from October 18th
(Click the links below for detailed information on each tornado event)
Click Here for Details on the Enhanced Fujita (EF) Tornado Rating Scale
Tornadoes Rated EF-2 or EF-3
Breckinridge County, Kentucky: EF-2
Clark County, Indiana: EF-3
Tornadoes Rated EF-1
Northern Bullitt County, KY (2 Miles North of Shepherdsville)
Hancock County Kentucky & Perry County Indiana
Meade County, Kentucky
Tornadoes Rated EF-0
Jefferson County, KY (Louisville Metro Area)
Marion County, Kentucky

Recipes for Disaster

Here's the scoop. We are under a tornado watch until 12am!
VERY MOIST BUOYANT AIRMASS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON...INITIALLY ACROSS WI/IL/SERN MO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL QUICKLY SPREAD DOWNSTREAM INTO MI/IND/WRN KY/WRN TN THIS EVENING. STORM ROTATION IS LIKELY WITH MANY STORMS AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG AND LONG-LIVED. ADDITIONALLY...VERY DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY FAST MOVING THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY AS THEY ORGANIZE INTO LONGER LINE SEGMENTS.

Watch out and keep checking the blog!

lt's a Big Deal Now!

These severe storms are not messing around now! there is a tornado watch in effect now until 10am but nothing bad is expected.

Just to confirm, it will rain this morning, then clear up in the afternoon, shaking up the atmosphere, and then the big storms will come this evening and tonight.

Risk of Severe Storms: Moderate

RIsk of Tornadoes: 15% with a 5 percent chance of strong tornadoes!

30% chance of damaging winds (>58 mph)

15% chance of damaging hail

Time frame for all this: 7pm-1am!

Check back this afternoon for more!

Severe Storms Possible

Well, well, well, we find ourselves in a tricky situation. It is October 17, 2007. It is 80 degrees. There is a storm system headed our way. What does that mean? Storms are on their way.

Possibly bad storms. Take a look at this.

You made be wondering why I put almost the exact same thing on today as yesterday. Well, not much has changed, but if you looked, some has!

Looking at the moderate risk area (the area in the red circle in the 1st graphic) it is further south today than yesterday. The 2nd graphic is different also. The 45% area is also a little further south. Today it is also covered with little blue dashes. What do they mean? It means that there is a 30% chance of destructive severe weather in that pink area within 20 miles of a point. So, there is a 30% chance of DESTRUCTIVE SEVERE WEATHER in one place between Louisville and Charlestown, IN. This is the case at this point. But as you know things can change.

Even though you won't understand it, read this message from the Storm Prediction Center:

LATEST THINKING IS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ARCING AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM IA...IL INTO WRN KY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THIS REGION SUGGEST CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS WILL BE MODULATED BY INTENSE SHEAR/FORCING WITHIN A WEAK LAPSE RATE/INSTABILITY ENVIRONMENT. MEAN STORM FLOW AROUND 50KT SUGGEST ORGANIZED BOW-TYPE STRUCTURES COULD EASILY ACCELERATE BEYOND THESE SPEEDS PRODUCING POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE DAMAGING WINDS. ANY HEATING AHEAD OF THIS LINE WILL ONLY SERVE TO AID UPDRAFT POTENTIAL AS THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD/DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD SRN WI/WRN IND/SWRN LOWER MI BY NOON. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR WHETHER DISCRETE STRUCTURES THAT EVOLVE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG ADVANCING WIND SHIFT WILL REMAIN ISOLATED OR EVOLVE INTO MORE NUMEROUS CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS. REGARDLESS...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MAY PRODUCE TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS.

Just read what's in italics in this mess! That's all I expect you to half way understand! Potentially destructive damaging winds and tornadoes always produce a big deal.

I will post tomorrow early morning and all through the afternoon.

The Final 15: Weather and Sports: Permanent Posting begins now!

www.spc.noaa.gov
www.spc.noaa.gov/products

Permanent Posting begins now!

The Kentucky Wildcats beat number 1 LSU Saturday! How did it happen?! Three overtimes and a storming of the field! Incredible! But Louisville beat the previously unbeaten Cincinnati Bearcats too! Go Cards!


Hey, keep looking at this blog , like every few hours because i'm going to be posting a lot of a lot! There is a moderate risk of severe storms in our area Thursday. Damaging winds and tornadoes are possible! Here are the maps! The %'s are the possibility of severe weather Thursday.

The Bengals Keep Losing Because...

The Bengals have been losing a lot! They got a bye this week and should be turning it around! But for now, we can look to the past to a great moment in Bengal history! But first, the forecast.

It will not rain but some light rain tonight. It will be 80 on Tuesday! But Wednesday through the end of the week, it will clear out! Sunny for the rest of the week! But no rain! Temperatures will be from 50-55 degrees for the low and 70-75 degrees for the high!

Now for Bengal history:

Ahh, those were the days!