Fay has brought a few welcome downpours to a few areas the past couple days. However, today, there was a 5 minute downpour just 5 minutes from here, but at our house, not 1 drop!!! This is a prime example of just how random all of these showers are and how isolated they are...
Tomorrow morning I still believe there is a 30% chance for the Louisville/southern Indiana area to get a band of rain. However, if we don't get it tomorrow morning, we won't get it. Highs tomorrow will be around 80.
Thursday looks fine with sun and highs in the mid 80s.
The next system will make it's move by Friday, bringing us another 40% chance of showers/storms. However, this will not bring the needed relief that we need to get out of our dry spell.
And if we don't get any rain by Friday, then get ready for another dry spell. Saturday-Tuesday will all be dry with highs in the middle to upper 80s. The saving grace will be that our humidities will not be too high.
However, there is a storm that bears watching for the gulf coast and for our next great rain chance. I told you yesterday that Hurricane Gustav would not travel across Cuba as it was forecast yesterday. Check out today's forecast...
It will not cross Cuba and instead will go on the west side before hitting west Florida, or (most likely) heading into the Gulf and hitting anywhere from Texas to the panhandle of Florida. The winds are currently 75mph, but by Sunday, winds are forecasted to be at 120mph.
There is a loop current that goes between Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula and goes into the Gulf of Mexico, as well as off the Florida straits. This is a place where rapid hurricane intensification could occur. Here is a map of this phenomenon. The red areas are where the current is.
I knew that hurricanes typically intensified in the Gulf of Mexico, but didn't know why until I saw Belski's blog today...
So keep all of this in mind as this storm continues to churn in the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico...
Alex C.
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