July 21, 2008: 9:30pm

Threat of severe is rising...

The Storm Prediction Center has now put parts of the area in a MODERATE risk of severe thunderstorms...with the rest of the area in a slight risk.



The moderate risk runs primarily north of I-64. This includes Salem, Paoli, Seymour, and Bedford. The wind threat, again, seems to be the big issue for us.



There is a 45% chance of damaging winds >58mph over the moderate risk area, or north of I-64. The rest of far south Indiana and the counties in Kentucky bordering the Ohio River are in a 30% chance.

Take a look at the radar for the watch northwest of us...




These storms are mean! Right now those storms in Illinois are producing golf ball sized hail and some winds over 70mph! The storms in northeast Missouri have tornado warnings on them for now...but all of them will turn linear and mostly into a damaging wind threat by the time they get here...

The SPC sees those severe storms tracking east/southeast, which would hit those areas in the moderate risk in southern Indiana. The SPC also thinks that there will be more development in central Missouri, which would probably be our best storm threat. They are about to issue a watch from Kansas City to Saint Louis to the IL/IN border for these new storms.

We will have to see if they all develop and if the storms already out there hold together...but if they do, we may have some late night damaging winds...

This will be my last post of the night, but I will be up watching these storms. Use your weather radio, local media, and the links on the right side of the blog to keep you up to date on this ever changing severe weather situation!

I will have a full recap of the storms (if they get here) tomorrow. Also, it is worth noting that there is a 15% chance of severe tomorrow along and south of I-64...but I'll wait until tomorrow to talk about that!

Stay safe!

Alex C.