Sunday, December 14, 2008

Sunday, December 14, 2008: 8am

Not going into storm alert mode quite yet with this storm; however, later today, I may go into storm alert mode. The only differences about storm alert mode is more frequent posts and only posts on the storm at hand. Also, occasional e-mails will be sent to blog followers and others to alert them of the weather and that I have published a ground-breaking post.

Back to the weather now. The same holds the same as did yesterday. The NWS has issued a wind advisory for the area, in effect until midnight tonight. The sustained winds will be 15-30mph, with gusts from 40-45 mph.

Rain could be scattered about tonight, and maybe early this morning as well. Rain will increase overnight tonight into Monday. Temps will fall behind the cold front on Monday, making our Monday highs in the morning hours. By afternoon, the area will slowly have a transition from rain to freezing rain.

With a secondary system coming in behind this first, we will get more precip on Monday night and into Tuesday morning. This precip will be in the form of sleet, snow, and freezing rain, all dependent on where you live in our area.

Thus, the NWS has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of our area for Monday afternoon-Tuesday morning. They state that significant ice and snow accumulations are possible.

It is very hard to pinpoint exactly who will get what precip, so stay tuned for further updates. Here is the HPC map for potential of 4 inches of snow. The northern most part of southern Indiana is in a slight (10% or >) potential of 4 inches of snow. This risk goes through Cincinnati and southern Ohio as well.


The .25" freezing rain potential map has undergone some changes, however.

From Louisville and points to the southwest, there is a 40% or > chance of .25" inch of freezing rain, with the original 10% or > risk over the rest of the area.

For reference, .25" inch of freezing rain is bad enough for a Winter Storm Warning to be issued. Amounts of ice (freezing rain) from .25-.5", with isolated .75" inch over New England put 1.3 million out of power, so this is a serious situation.

My next post will be later this evening (probably 7-8pm)...

Alex C.

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