6-16-08 Severe Storm Watch

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for the entire area until 5pm EDT.

The best chance of severe weather should be from 12-3pm.

Here are the severe probabilities for this watch from the Storm Prediction Center:

Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (5%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 75 mph
Mod (30%)

Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)

This watch calls for the potential of hail up to baseball sized and winds to 80mph; however, the likelihood of baseball sized hail or 80 mph winds in southern Indiana is quite low...

We will most likely have up to nickel sized hail and maybe winds to 70mph in a severe storm...

One more note is that we will be on the southern edge of the storms, which enhanced the threat of bowing segments, and thus damaging wind gusts....stay tuned...