There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon, tonight, and overnight for our entire area.
The SPC has put us in a risk for a 5% tornado threat:
And a 30% chance of damaging winds >58mph:
This afternoon, scattered storms will develop over our area. These will be mostly heavy rain/dangerous lightning producers, but a few damaging wind gusts are possible.
Late tonight as a front comes closer, a better chance of organized wind damage will arrive.
The tornado threat is small, but there is a possibility of a spin up or two.
Make sure to set your weather radios tonight if this system evolves...
So, over our area:
The best time frame for large hail (15%) will be between 3-7pm.
The best time frame for damaging winds will be from 3-7pm, and 10pm-2am.
The best time frame for tornadoes will be from 9pm-12am.
The best time frame for heavy rain and dangerous lightning will be from 12pm-8pm and 9pm-4am...
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